My choice in the HD DVD format war

April 7, 2006

hd movie titlesI’ve followed the hi-def DVD format war for roughly 22 months now and after all the posturing, rhetoric and fleeting dreams of unification we’re right back where we started from, with two formats. Its time to lay it on the line and state my case for which of the two competing high-definition DVD formats I’m backing.

I want to get one thing out of the way right off the bat, a dual-format player doesn’t solve the underlying problem, it only offers a temporary band-aid to the situation. Without a clear winner neither format will reach its full potential of replacing DVD and even SACD, DVD-A and Dual Disc. That’s right, there’s more at stake here than just prerecorded high-definition video.

The real goal here should be overwhelming consumer acceptance of one format over the other; this is what we need to end the format war. If either of the competing formats could say we have firm commitments from all studios to release their entire back catalogs and all new releases on our format immediately, there would be no format war. But as we all know this is not the case.

We as consumers are being held hostage in a sense. We deserve one disc that offers high definition movies and or high resolution music, but because these huge consumer electronics companies couldn’t see eye to eye (shocker) we’re left with a splintered assortment of may-haps for the years ahead.

Let’s take a stand and remind these conglomerates we deserve better. We don’t want this fractured un-format shoved down our throats, we want ONE high capacity format that can handle all of our pre-recorded needs with one disc. I want to be able to buy a HDTV/Hi-Res Audio disc knowing it’ll be around for years to come and that I won’t have to rely on a dual-format player to play it.

Whoa, ok taking a deep breath. Alright back to my case. Overwhelming consumer acceptance of one format is what will end this, not Toshiba’s or Sony’s graciousness. With the format war over; the media companies can get down to what they should really be doing, ramping up production for both HD movie and high-res audio discs. But first the format of choice has to rise to the surface. How will this be decided?

Let’s look at what generally moves a new format forward:

(1) Fills a Need
(2) Price
(3) Brand Recognition
(4) Ease of transition
(5) Accessibility, getting the product in front of people

For point (1), we only need look at the void left by standard definition DVD and the ever growing sales of large screen, high definition displays. Admittedly both formats win on this point alone, but anything better than DVD would by default.

As to point (2), no real question that HD-DVD has a huge advantage here, not only for early adopters but down the road as well. HD-DVD players will be as cheap as $500.00 at launch; it would be hard to describe the initial Blu-ray players at $1000.00 a bargain. Sure the first DVD players commanded a similar premium, but DVD’s acceptance wasn’t hampered by a format war. The manufacturers had a captive audience (ready to move on from VHS) and time was on their side.

Ok to point (3), consumer awareness is generally high on both sides with those who are tech-savvy to begin with, but HD-DVD has an advantage with folks who don’t spend their free time reading up on the latest and greatest electronics. I mean hey it’s called HD-DVD. What’s not to get? HD-DVD tells you what it is with its title alone, Blu-ray sounds like something out of a science fiction movie. Obviously you and I know what Blu-ray is, but will that typical Best-Buy shopper looking for a gift for their in-laws know what it is? Don’t discount this point. Easy, concise branding is paramount in marketing to the masses.

With point (4), the ease of transition argument might be obfuscated by point 3 (price) but that’s really not what were talking about. Toshiba is making sure to embrace both legacy disc formats with their first players (CD & DVD) and Sony is not. Oh wait, were you unaware that Sony’s first Blu-ray player set for launch in the United States doesn’t even play CD’s?

Both Sony’s BDP-S1 and Pioneer’s BDP-HD1 can’t play CDs although Samsung’s BD-P1000 will. Confused? I’m guessing the consumers will be as well. I find it odd that this isn’t more widely known, possible intentional omission from the marketing department? I’ll grant you that the ease of transition problems (if any) can easily be remedied by the manufacturers, but Sony’s first glaring omission in their 1k dollar player doesn’t exactly have me clamoring to give them my hard-earned dollars.

Lastly point (5), just getting the product in front of as many people as possible. Walmart is selling the Toshiba HD-D1, thats a lot of people.. (The D1 is an all black version of the HD-A1)

My Pick in the format war is…

This post may alienate a few of you, regrettable as that may be I feel to stand back and wait this out without as much as stating my case would do a bigger disservice to my readers. I say that because as I’m typing this I’m glancing down at the results of our little informal format war poll and I can see that Blu-ray has a small lead over HD-DVD.

I’m going with HD-DVD. Yes, yes I can hear the growls from the technophiles now, ‘Greenway must have gone off his rocker to support that loser format!’ But as I continue here hopefully you’ll at least see where I’m coming from, even if we still disagree at the end.

First make no mistake, I completely understand that Blu-ray is supposedly a technically superior format and to that I say, so what? The consumer electronics landscape is littered with the carcasses of technically superior formats. Let me name a few:

BetaMax  (dead)
MiniDisc  (dead, in the U.S at least)
SACD (dying, just wait)
Sony’s CD Root-Kit  (not technically a format, but a debacle nonetheless)
Universal Media Disc  (on its death bed)

See any similarities in those examples? Yes they’re all formats or technologies invented or pushed by Sony. I’m not advocating that Sony is inept or foolhardy with their developments, these are just a few of the examples that came to mind when I thought of CE failures. Obviously there are plenty of others.

But you say, Blu-ray holds more data! Again I say so what? Toshiba’s HD-DVD disc tops out at 30GB (dual-layer) and I submit to you that this is more than enough for high definition movies and surely more than enough for high resolution audio.

A friend of mine has a copy of a 1080i movie on his hard drive with a run time of 116 minutes; this particular file is 12GB. 112 minutes times 12GB comes in around 6GB per hour, which is more than enough to pack in even the biggest epic with menus on a single HD-DVD disc.

But Blu-ray has more studio support! Ok let’s see, HD-DVD has Warner, Universal, and Paramount where Blu-ray has Fox, Disney and MGM. Granted Blu-ray has some cross studio support as well, but again I say so what?

If you think for one second any of those studios won’t jump ship to whichever format is selling more hardware, I have a bridge to sell you. The studio support argument is a misnomer in my opinion. No* publicly held corporation wants to explain to their stockholders, yes we could have earned more on your investment but we were fighting a format war! *Hooray for gross generalizations

Lets get real. The studio support will go where the potential sales are. More xyz players sold means studio 123 releases titles for that format, although if Sony wants to be stubborn they can withhold MGM titles as long as they wish.

Others might argue, but Blu-ray is better for computers because we can store more files on the recordable discs! Recordable formats evolve from their pre-recorded counterparts, not the other way around. For example, the CD came before the CDR and the DVD came before the DVD-R. Computer platforms are much easier to update than stand-alone CE gear.

I have no doubt that if widely adopted, HD-DVD blank media storage capacities will increase accordingly. Although I will admit we may be limited to the initial format constraints for PC to HD-DVD player playback, but that doesn’t negate my point.

Let’s not forget about the Playstation 3 and its supposed killer app influence on Blu-ray. I still assert that stand alone CE playback devices rule the world of movies and music, not game platforms. The video game generation is aging and games do matter, but there is still a larger base of movie watchers than game players. And as long as that remains true, a game platform won’t tip the scales either way in mass acceptance.

Summary

In the end what it all boils down to for me is this: what do I want out of either format? I want to buy high definition movies and high resolution audio for playback on a single player, not two players or dual-format player. In addition I want to ensure the ones I do purchase are viable years down the road.

Which format gives me the best shot at accomplishing my goal? I believe HD-DVD does because I feel that the majority of other consumers with my needs will make the same decision, thereby pushing my chosen format even farther along. Any format with enough consumer support will force the studios and labels to get on board.

The format war wasn’t my choice, but hopefully my choice will help end it.



Posted by B.Greenway | | Filed Under Blu-ray & HD-DVD


Comments

  • Rex
    What a great blog....

    I have a small dedicated movie/gaming room in my house. Stocked with mid priced equipment, we find it to be great entertainment and prefer this to a trip to the movie theater.

    I went out on a limb during the DVD / DIVX war and voted with my $$$. I voted for DVD and bought a first generation $500 Pioneer with limited features. I decided then on DVD because I thought the general public just didn't want the hassles of DIVX.

    Sounds to me like there is some similiarity here. HD-DVD players will play standard DVD's, CD's, and HD-DVD's with no hassles. Blu-Ray players will play Blu-Ray discs and.... games .... and they cost twice as much.

    I believe there are many more consumers that will buy a multipurpose platform for $500 than there are consumers that will pay $1000 for a single purpose platform.

    And since I can add High Definition movies to my XBOX 360 for only $200 you can probably guess how I'm going to vote this time.
  • B.Greenway
    Hi Rob, at first I was a bit taken aback by your comments but as I thought more about it, I can see how you’d get that impression based solely off this post. However keep in mind this post was made April 7th, but one of my biggest complaints then remains true now.

    Blu-ray’s launch strategy of 500-600 dollar game consoles and 1K+ stand-alone players completely ignores those unwilling to invest 1k in a first generation player and those who aren’t interested in game consoles, no matter what they may offer in the way of BD playback. End result; the bulk of the people necessary to propel the format forward are left without a viable option for BD hardware.

    In the months since however I’ve mentioned several times how much I’m enjoying HD DVD and how dismayed I am at all the negative reports of hardware and software quality issues with Blu-ray. But aside from the negative reviews of others, I’ve been able to verify much of this first hand. I’ve yet to find any application or scenario where I can definitively point to Blu-ray’s superiority, to the contrary HD DVD has already enjoyed a significantly higher rate of quality transfers and owner satisfaction with the hardware.

    So with the benefit of months of observations of both formats, my stance remains the same. My choice for the next generation high definition optical disc format remains HD DVD.
  • Rob
    It seems circular to say you want HD to win because you think it will win. If you are ever going to take a stand for the higher quality format, of course now is the time to do it. Jumping on the bandwagon has relegated the public to a lot of mediocre stuff- Windows and VHS are good examples.

    Things are definitely better, in business, politics, or life when the best side wins, not the side with the best promotion or marketing. If Blu-ray is better, let's go that way.
  • Ben Hobbs
    This all becomes far more interesting now that the xbox360 is getting a HD DVD add-on. Whilst the PS3 is being delayed (especially in Europe) the 360 has an install base of 7 million users, who can now pick up the option of playing High Def DVD's for 20% of the price of a Blu-Ray player.

    Importantly Europe is likely to see High Def DVD's from the Xbox 360 before the PS3 is even released, This in addition to the fact the PS3 isn't going to be available over the Christmas period (at least in Eruope) is I think important.
  • B.Greenway
    That's a big unknown, no one knows for sure either way how consumers will choose or if they'll even bother choosing at all.
  • Vman
    Just a little thought.. nothing ground shattering, but i know i will have a PS3 which is blu-ray so thats covered and i am going out now to buy an HD-DA1.. got that covered .. isnt that going to be the case with most people especially the ones who read posts like this ?
  • JT
    Great comentary Greenway. As an audiophile and videophile, and an early adopter of the Beta format,I am picking HD DVD to win. Not hoping they will nor blind to Blue Rays advantages. Sony has done it again in my opinion, and in certain areas never learns from prior mistakes.
  • Adam
    I agree that people greatly over-estimate the effect that the PS2 had on the general public's interest in or purchasing of DVDs. Especially in America. In Japan, it had somewhat of an effect since gaming is more mainstream and since VCDs were big there at the time but even that was only an initial/early effect that didn't matter in the end.

    Despite what interest a format may generate in the short-term by being related to another popular device - that ultimately never matters in the end. People buy a game system to play games and a stand-alone video player to watch movies - that's just the way it is. Think about it: the average housewife, family, or even you don't want to have to use the PS3's boomerang controller/whatever to view movies, you don't want to have to share such a system with others in the household. If you want to play Killzone 2, while your kid sister wants to watch HD Finding Nemo or your dad/whoever want's to watch HD Band of Brothers - then it creates an immediate motivation to end the BS and just buy a stand-alone player.

    Heck, most of the time - if you buy a PS3, you'll keep it in your room anyway where the HD function doesn't generate any interest from anybody except maybe you - and in the short term only - because you bought it to play games anyway. Besides, even if your PS3 is in the living room - people without your same interest in videogames/PS3 already - will basically ignore it anyhow due to the perception that it is basically just another game machine. I mean, how often did your Mom, Dad (or other person with their mainstream tastes) turn on your PS2 to watch a DVD movie back in the day? Probably never.

    At the end of the day, people buy devices for their primary advertised function only. Just look at how UMD discs have now almost completely failed. Now suddenly the PSP is just a gaming device and nobody cares (except maybe those nuts that invested alot in that movie format).

    Beyond that this situation is different from the PS2 and DVD situation furthermore. DVD was THE long-awaited solution to out-dated VHS. It received a huge marketing push by every retailer, store, and entertainment brand in the country (whether they were personally invested in the format or not) due to this. It filled a wide-spread need and did it in a way that was simple and relatable to anyone. Then soon enough, it was very inexpensive as well.

    With HD/Blu-Ray we have a situation that is more akin to the release of laser-disc. The HD format is something that is primarily of interest only to videophiles and home theater enthusiasts. The average person could care less, since their happy with the picture quality of DVD and would never dream of re-buying their entire collections AGAIN...especially for a visual improvement that isn't THAT much of a jump or that at the very least, requires an expensive and well-calibrated set. Now that may change over time as the average family is forced to upgrade their TVs due to wear and tear or the demand of TV broadcasting technology...but to say that that is a ways off is an understatement.

    The only thing that will decide the HD disc war is the amount of initial stand-alone players sold within the first year or two of both Blu-Ray and HD-DVD being out. If one greatly outsells the other for whatever reason (usually price matters here) - then it's over. If neither outsells the other - then both formats will end up being more like laserdisc then ever. Only gaining acceptance with the niche crowd of home theater enthusiasts and never being embraced by the mainstream.

    The mainstream needs time to accept a new format, especially so soon after have finally fully embraced and entrenched themselves in DVD. Unless HD discs were some miracle-worker things that projected a 3D image around the room or sucked your body straight into the movie (which they are not) - then they won't draw the average consumers attention for quite a while. And by that, I mean years not months.

    I'm not a supporter of either camp. All I really want is a swift and complete decision to one side so that it's over and home theater enthusiasts like me can get on with our lives. Among those enthusiasts who would most support and buy the formats in their first two years - each side has different advantages that will come into play. Price seems like the most obvious thing that will matter most. Then availability, variety, and quality of content (certainly the first of two to more fully embrace non-typical movies like Asian action films, porno, etc will have an advantage). And then finally, (for the mainstream primarily) probably marketing and the push for sales of a given format in popular local stores like Best Buy or Walmart.

    Honestly, if I had to place a bet now - I'd say HD-DVD for the win due to the price issue but the next two years will most-likely be a battle too close to call - since it seems that sooner or later both sides will be offering or willing to offer the same level of quality at very similar price points.

    As I am, sort of, forced to choose now (since the formats are basically out and since I'm an HD lover who desperately wants a DVD upgrade) - I also choose HD-DVD. The reasons for this are price (as much as I love it, I'm sick of spending money on my HD rig - so price has become a big issue for me), the fact that it's available this very second (and the fact that a stand-alone BR player at $500 dollars is quite a ways off), and also since I can see that (going forward) all things in terms of quality/availability between the two formats will basically be equal.
  • Mike
    Great blog.

    I'm one of those aging video gamers at 35.

    I'm looking to buy a PS3 when it allegedly launches in November (Sony initially said this spring at the E3 show, but that's another topic). I'm looking to buy a PS3 for gaming, not watching movies, in fact I couldn't care less if it didn't play hi-def Dvd's. This is why Sony cannot get the PS3 to launch in time, by trying to force a Blu-ray format into every PS3. Sony keeps shooting themselves in the foot time after time. Why not launch the PS3 like the Xbox360?, with a future ad-on for hi-def dvd. No sir, Sony tried to do too much too fast.

    Sony deep pockets? Last time I checked the company is in huge trouble, laying off workers for the first time last year with even greater cuts to workers in the future just to keep the company in the black. Appointing their current CEO, a fellow from Britain? With no real business education?? Are you kidding me? I thought this was GIANT SONY OF JAPAN. Sony is on thin ice and if this Blu-ray tanks only the PS3 console will save them.

    I'm betting the HD-DVD format will be standing after the dust settles. You have to look at it from the average-joe perspective: price ($500 at launch, surely models at 1/2 that price by year end), available movies (Warner, Paramount, Universal), picture quality (hi-def is hi-def). The mass market will determine the winner not the video/audiophiles of the world.

    Look at MP3's, this is the sound quality accepted by the masses today...need I say more? So sad really.
  • B.Greenway
    Joe,

    The not playing CD's thing was Sony's first stand-alone Blu-ray players, not the PS3 to my knowledge.
blog comments powered by Disqus
  • Bookmarks

  • Newsletter



    Follow Us


    RSS Feed Follow Home Theater Blog on Twitter Facebook

    Site Search


  • Posts by Category